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How many copies did Grand Theft Auto III sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 941k–1.5M
from 15k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Grand Theft Auto III out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Grand Theft Auto III's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 166k–1.4M
best case 6.9M (Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas)
Games like Grand Theft Auto III

The middle of these games

≈ 166k–1.4M copies

≈ $314k–$531k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Automobile Sim (7 of 7) and Classic (6 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2014, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 70 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto: Vice City
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
8.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
30k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Crazy Taxi
2011
Est. copies
≈ 229k–373k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
RacingArcade
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
2008
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
83k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Driver® Parallel Lines
2009
Est. copies
≈ 99k–161k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$271k–$730k after Steam's cut $493k–$1.1M before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Hard Truck Apocalypse / Ex Machina
2014
Est. copies
≈ 154k–250k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$338k–$909k after Steam's cut $615k–$1.4M before the cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticAutomobile Sim
Hard Truck Apocalypse: Rise Of Clans / Ex Machina: Meridian 113
2014
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$76k–$205k after Steam's cut $138k–$315k before the cut
$5.99
825 reviews
Mostly Positive
Automobile SimAction
Street Racing Syndicate
2014
Est. copies
≈ 245k–399k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$202k–$542k after Steam's cut $367k–$834k before the cut
$2.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World

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