How much revenue did Adios make?

$166k–$446k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Adios sell?

Q: How many copies did Adios sell?

34k to 54k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 34k–54k; $166k–$446k after Steam's cut $302k–$686k before the cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Adios out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Adios's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 164k–664k

best case 5.4M (Firewatch)

Games like Adios

The middle of these games

≈ 164k–664k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Firewatch at ≈ 4.1M–6.7M copies, ≈ $22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 617 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Horror (4 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Walking Simulator + First-Person + Mystery; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2012 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Alan Wake's American Nightmare 2012	Est. copies ≈ 677k–1.1M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before the cut	$8.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Her Story 2015	Est. copies ≈ 507k–824k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	InvestigationTyping
Oxenfree 2016	Est. copies ≈ 504k–819k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Story RichChoices Matter
We Went Back 2020	Est. copies ≈ 119k–193k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayHorror
The Suicide of Rachel Foster 2020	Est. copies ≈ 171k–278k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $845k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before the cut	$17.99	7k reviews Mixed	Walking SimulatorMystery
Observation 2020	Est. copies ≈ 129k–209k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $885k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before the cut	$24.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	IndieAdventure
Firewatch 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$93.9M before the cut	$19.99	99k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
DARQ: Complete Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 121k–196k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $664k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	HorrorDark