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wishvane

How big is Hargrave?

Estimated owners
≈ 7k–11k
from 267 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hargrave out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hargrave's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17.9M–42.0M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Hargrave

The middle of these games

≈ 17.9M–42.0M copies

≈ $83.2M–$132.1M after Steam's cut

from ~490k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Free
Free
227k reviews
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Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before the cut
$13.99
394k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.3M–33.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut $253.8M–$577.4M before the cut
$24.99
416k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Brawlhalla
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
411k reviews
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Free to PlayMultiplayer
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 35.7M–58.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut
$4.99
638k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.