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How many copies did Messticulous sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before the cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Messticulous out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Messticulous's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 374k–810k
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like Messticulous

The middle of these games

≈ 374k–810k copies

≈ $2.4M–$5.4M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (6 of 8) and Comedy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Puzzle-Platformer + Sandbox + 3D Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Surgeon Simulator
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before the cut
$9.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
Gravitas
2019
Est. copies
≈ 206k–334k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPuzzle
Untitled Goose Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 623k–1.0M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.2M before the cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyVillain Protagonist
Donut County
2018
Est. copies
≈ 366k–595k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before the cut
$12.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Bridge Constructor Portal
2017
Est. copies
≈ 258k–419k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Octodad: Dadliest Catch
2014
Est. copies
≈ 599k–974k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before the cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyPhysics

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.