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How big is Vagrus - The Riven Realms: Demo (Prologue)?

Estimated owners
≈ 5k–8k
from 200 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Vagrus - The Riven Realms: Demo (Prologue) out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vagrus - The Riven Realms: Demo (Prologue)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 464–1k
best case 1.4M (Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition)
Games like Vagrus - The Riven Realms: Demo (Prologue)

The middle of these games

≈ 464–1k copies

≈ $3k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~26 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 16 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 9k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on JRPG (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Third Person, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Action RPG + Third Person + Lore-Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
Only 1 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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