Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Alder Forge sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 521–846
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before the cut
from 21 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Alder Forge out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alder Forge's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 744k–1.8M
best case 4.5M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like Alder Forge

The middle of these games

≈ 744k–1.8M copies

≈ $8.8M–$25.9M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.4M–5.6M copies, ≈ $56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 11k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on JRPG (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.6M before the cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 492k–799k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.8M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.6M before the cut
$59.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 978k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.7M after Steam's cut $14.7M–$33.3M before the cut
$29.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 379k–616k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$14.0M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.6M before the cut
$49.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorJRPG
Hyperdimension Neptunia Re;Birth1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 598k–972k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before the cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut $103.0M–$234.4M before the cut
$59.99
139k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut
$19.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
FINAL FANTASY IX
2016
Est. copies
≈ 592k–962k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before the cut
$20.99
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.