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How many copies did NEKOPARA Vol. 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 414k–672k
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut
from 12k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left NEKOPARA Vol. 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NEKOPARA Vol. 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–10.4M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like NEKOPARA Vol. 3

The middle of these games

≈ 4.0M–10.4M copies

≈ $5.3M–$26.7M after Steam's cut

from ~135k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 7k to 64k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (6 of 8) and Sexual Content (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Free
Free
302k reviews
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Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
268k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before the cut
$15.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.0M after Steam's cut $26.3M–$59.9M before the cut
$14.99
142k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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