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How many copies did Spice&Wolf VR2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–28k
$119k–$319k after Steam's cut $216k–$491k before the cut
from 696 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Spice&Wolf VR2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spice&Wolf VR2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 80k–175k
best case 4.7M (Soundpad)
Games like Spice&Wolf VR2

The middle of these games

≈ 80k–175k copies

≈ $966k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Soundpad at ≈ 3.6M–5.8M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Mature (6 of 8) and Anime (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Utilities + Audio Production + Software; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
42x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
104k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 690k–1.1M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$947k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Gal*Gun 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$626k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before the cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MatureAnime
SENRAN KAGURA Peach Beach Splash
2018
Est. copies
≈ 130k–211k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
NEKOPALIVE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeFree to Play
CUSTOM ORDER MAID 3D2 It's a Night Magic
2019
Est. copies
≈ 45k–72k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$490k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $891k–$2.0M before the cut
$40.00
2k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Spooky's Jump Scare Mansion: HD Renovation
2017
Est. copies
≈ 137k–223k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$377k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $685k–$1.6M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
VR Kanojo / VRカノジョ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$824k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before the cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

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