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How many copies did Noch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before the cut
from 324 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Noch out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Noch's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 435k–1.2M
best case 4.4M (Metro Exodus)
Games like Noch

The middle of these games

≈ 435k–1.2M copies

≈ $4.1M–$15.2M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Metro Exodus at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 254 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (7 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Post-apocalyptic + FPS, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Story Rich + Action; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 280k–455k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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VRExtraction Shooter
Generation Zero®
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.7x vs typical
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$8.3M–$22.4M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.5M before the cut
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Open WorldSurvival
Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.5M before the cut
$29.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 662k–1.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$44.99
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DrivingSurvival
Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$13.4M–$36.0M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.4M before the cut
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DifficultAtmospheric
Chernobylite Complete Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 386k–627k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
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16k reviews
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Post-apocalypticSurvival
ZERO Sievert
2024
Est. copies
≈ 382k–621k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before the cut
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Extraction ShooterSurvival
No One Survived
2025
Est. copies
≈ 193k–314k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$901k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before the cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World

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