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wishvane

How many copies did Metro Exodus sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
$27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.5M before the cut
from 135k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Metro Exodus out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Metro Exodus's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–7.5M
best case 31.7M (Dying Light)
Games like Metro Exodus

The middle of these games

≈ 4.5M–7.5M copies

≈ $75.2M–$91.7M after Steam's cut

from ~140k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.1M–39.2M copies, ≈ $165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 88k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (7 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Zombies; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
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SurvivalOpen World
Fallout: New Vegas
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≈ 16.5M–26.8M
1.9x vs typical
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$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.6M before the cut
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Open WorldRPG
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≈ 24.1M–39.2M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
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ZombiesSurvival Horror
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2015
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≈ 20.9M–34.0M
3.1x vs typical
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$19.99
428k reviews
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Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
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≈ 9.9M–16.1M
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$122.7M–$330.0M after Steam's cut $223.1M–$507.7M before the cut
$44.99
400k reviews
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SurvivalZombies
Metro 2033 Redux
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≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.3M–$116.4M after Steam's cut $78.7M–$179.1M before the cut
$19.99
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Post-apocalypticFPS
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$56.2M–$151.0M after Steam's cut $102.1M–$232.3M before the cut
$59.99
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2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
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$39.99
140k reviews
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Open WorldMultiplayer

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