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How big is Hello Neighbor 2 Alpha 1.5?

Estimated owners
≈ 155k–252k
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hello Neighbor 2 Alpha 1.5 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hello Neighbor 2 Alpha 1.5's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.0M–8.9M
best case 22.3M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)
Games like Hello Neighbor 2 Alpha 1.5

The middle of these games

≈ 5.0M–8.9M copies

≈ $50.8M–$83.6M after Steam's cut

from ~136k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.0M–27.6M copies, ≈ $93.5M–$251.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Third Person (5 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Third Person, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.2M–$143.0M after Steam's cut $96.7M–$220.1M before the cut
$29.99
155k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.1M before the cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.0M–27.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.5M–$251.3M after Steam's cut $169.9M–$386.6M before the cut
$19.99
269k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.2M–$81.3M after Steam's cut $55.0M–$125.1M before the cut
$19.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionStealth
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut $77.7M–$176.7M before the cut
$19.99
159k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.4M–$79.0M after Steam's cut $53.4M–$121.5M before the cut
$39.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.3M–$97.6M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.1M before the cut
$29.99
177k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure

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