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How many copies did LAPIN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$190k before the cut
from 355 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left LAPIN out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LAPIN's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 846k–1.7M
best case 5.8M (Celeste)
Games like LAPIN

The middle of these games

≈ 846k–1.7M copies

≈ $4.7M–$17.7M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Hand-drawn (6 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pentiment
2022
Est. copies
≈ 242k–393k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HistoricalStory Rich
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.9M–$29.3M after Steam's cut $19.8M–$45.0M before the cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
EmotionalStory Rich
Gorogoa
2017
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before the cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleHand-drawn
Sanfu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 442k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$10.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryRPG
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$19.0M before the cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Nine Sols
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.7M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$38.1M before the cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
Machinarium
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before the cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle

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