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wishvane

How many copies did Machinarium sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$7.2M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before the cut
from 21k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Machinarium out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Machinarium's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.5M
best case 3.8M (GRIS)
Games like Machinarium

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–1.5M copies

≈ $3.0M–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: GRIS at ≈ 2.9M–4.8M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (5 of 8) and Bowling (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Beautiful + Female Protagonist, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Dorfromantik
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PuzzleRelaxing
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PartyMultiplayer
Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before the cut
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HorrorIndie
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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BeautifulAtmospheric
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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PsychologicalDark Comedy
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2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$959k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before the cut
$2.99
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Bomb Bowling 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 346–562
too small to compare
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Est. revenue
$475–$1k after Steam's cut $863–$2k before the cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
PuzzlePhysics

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