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How many copies did Last Train Home sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 136k–222k
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Last Train Home out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Last Train Home's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–3.8M
best case 4.8M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)
Games like Last Train Home

The middle of these games

≈ 1.3M–3.8M copies

≈ $15.8M–$52.4M after Steam's cut

from ~43k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $60.5M–$162.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 32k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on RTS (8 of 8) and Tactical (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Total War: SHOGUN 2
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Command & Conquer™ Remastered Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 867k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.7M before the cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Total War: WARHAMMER III
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$60.5M–$162.7M after Steam's cut $110.0M–$250.2M before the cut
$59.99
148k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Total War: SHOGUN 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–6.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut $64.1M–$145.8M before the cut
$29.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront
2021
Est. copies
≈ 839k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.7M after Steam's cut $14.7M–$33.4M before the cut
$34.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIHistorical
Company of Heroes 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 992k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.0M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.7M before the cut
$59.99
40k reviews
Mixed
SingleplayerStrategy
Men of War: Assault Squad 2
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$21.5M–$57.9M after Steam's cut $39.2M–$89.1M before the cut
$29.99
47k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Wargame: Red Dragon
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's cut $16.6M–$37.7M before the cut
$29.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS

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