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How many copies did Total War: SHOGUN 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
from 68k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Total War: SHOGUN 2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Total War: SHOGUN 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–4.1M
best case 3.5M (Total War: THREE KINGDOMS)
Games like Total War: SHOGUN 2

The middle of these games

≈ 2.1M–4.1M copies

≈ $26.3M–$59.8M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: THREE KINGDOMS at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Grand Strategy (8 of 8) and Historical (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Historical + War, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Total War: ATTILA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$94.0M before the cut
$44.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: EMPIRE – Definitive Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.1M–$68.4M before the cut
$24.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$91.8M–$246.8M after Steam's cut $166.9M–$379.7M before the cut
$59.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Rome: Total War™ - Collection
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: SHOGUN 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–6.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut $64.1M–$145.8M before the cut
$29.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut $53.9M–$122.6M before the cut
$39.99
94k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before the cut
$24.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA
2018
Est. copies
≈ 452k–735k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before the cut
$39.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyHistorical

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