How much revenue did Wargame: Red Dragon make?

$9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wargame: Red Dragon sell?

Q: How many copies did Wargame: Red Dragon sell?

1.1M to 1.8M copies, based on its 20k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.8M; $9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's cut $16.6M–$37.7M before the cut; from 20k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Wargame: Red Dragon out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wargame: Red Dragon's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–10.1M

best case 20.5M (Hearts of Iron IV)

Games like Wargame: Red Dragon

The middle of these games

≈ 3.5M–10.1M copies

≈ $47.2M–$140.1M after Steam's cut

from ~94k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.6M–25.4M copies, ≈ $214.5M–$576.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Historical (6 of 8) and Military (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Alternate History + World War II; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 2014	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $21.5M–$57.9M after Steam's cut $39.2M–$89.1M before the cut	$29.99	47k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.6M–25.4M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $214.5M–$576.7M after Steam's cut $390.0M–$887.2M before the cut	$49.99	375k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut $53.9M–$122.6M before the cut	$39.99	94k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Company of Heroes 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $39.3M–$105.6M after Steam's cut $71.4M–$162.5M before the cut	$19.99	113k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Total War: SHOGUN 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–6.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut $64.1M–$145.8M before the cut	$29.99	68k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Europa Universalis IV 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.7M–14.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $119.2M–$320.5M after Steam's cut $216.8M–$493.1M before the cut	$49.99	137k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy
Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.0M–$35.1M after Steam's cut $23.7M–$54.0M before the cut	$34.99	55k reviews Very Positive	StrategyBase-Building
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.8M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.8M before the cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy