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How many copies did Gaia Project sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$255k before the cut
from 362 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Gaia Project out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gaia Project's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 473k–1.4M
best case 1.4M (FPS Chess)
Games like Gaia Project

The middle of these games

≈ 473k–1.4M copies

≈ $1.9M–$14.0M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: FPS Chess at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 32 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Board Game (5 of 8) and Sci-fi (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before the cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Mixed
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Terraforming Mars
2018
Est. copies
≈ 220k–357k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before the cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyBoard Game
Terraformers
2023
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$509k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $926k–$2.1M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationProcedural Generation
FPS Chess
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44k reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Trap for Winners
2019
Est. copies
≈ 461–749
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$7.99
16 reviews
Positive
IndieAdventure
RISK: Global Domination
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
42k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Armello
2015
Est. copies
≈ 783k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before the cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Board GamePvP
The Captain is Dead
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before the cut
$19.99
83 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyBoard Game

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