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How many copies did 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$463–$1k after Steam's cut $842–$2k before the cut
from 17 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 287k–713k
best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)
Games like 我的变色龙女友My Chameleon Girlfriend

The middle of these games

≈ 287k–713k copies

≈ $2.1M–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 257 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Sexual Content, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Summer Pockets
2020
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before the cut
$44.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
eden*
2015
Est. copies
≈ 255k–415k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before the cut
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WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT
2023
Est. copies
≈ 209k–340k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before the cut
$39.99
8k reviews
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Visual NovelAnime
Knowledge, or know Lady
2024
Est. copies
≈ 222k–361k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$427k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $777k–$1.8M before the cut
$6.99
9k reviews
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Sexual ContentDating Sim
Find Love or Die Trying
2021
Est. copies
≈ 297k–482k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before the cut
$4.99
12k reviews
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Dating SimVisual Novel
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before the cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
CLANNAD
2015
Est. copies
≈ 532k–865k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.7M after Steam's cut $12.0M–$27.2M before the cut
$44.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 577k–937k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.8M before the cut
$20.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime

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