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How many copies did Destroy Geometric Shapes sell?

Too new to estimate
Games in its genre land ≈ 2.0M–8.6M That is what its genre does, not a prediction for this game.
No reviews yet, so there is nothing to estimate from. That is not the same as selling nothing.
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We left Destroy Geometric Shapes out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Destroy Geometric Shapes's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–8.6M
best case 26.7M (BeamNG.drive)
Games like Destroy Geometric Shapes

The middle of these games

≈ 2.0M–8.6M copies

≈ $19.5M–$48.7M after Steam's cut

from ~70k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.3M–33.0M copies, ≈ $139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17 to 38k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Physics (8 of 8) and Destruction (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wreckfest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$42.9M before the cut
$29.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDestruction
Goat Simulator
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.7M before the cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.3M–33.0M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut $253.8M–$577.4M before the cut
$24.99
416k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.9M–$34.7M after Steam's cut $23.5M–$53.4M before the cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
Brick Rigs
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.7M after Steam's cut $14.7M–$33.4M before the cut
$19.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxDestruction
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.1M–14.9M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.7M–$103.9M before the cut
$9.99
317k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before the cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
Destroy The Cubes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$202–$545 after Steam's cut $368–$838 before the cut
$0.99
30 reviews
Positive
Point & ClickPhysics

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