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How many copies did Shillelagh sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before the cut
from 16 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Shillelagh out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shillelagh's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 589k–1.3M
best case 7.9M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like Shillelagh

The middle of these games

≈ 589k–1.3M copies

≈ $4.9M–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.0M–9.7M copies, ≈ $49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Arena Shooter + FPS, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Arena Shooter + Fast-Paced + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2004 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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