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How many copies did Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $96k–$219k before the cut
from 389 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 140k–251k
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like Spirit Swap: Lofi Beats to Match-3 To

The middle of these games

≈ 140k–251k copies

≈ $935k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.7M–$28.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 207 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Crime + Detective; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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