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How many copies did Once Upon a Jester sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–12k
$31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$129k before the cut
from 306 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Once Upon a Jester out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Once Upon a Jester's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.2M
best case 5.4M (Firewatch)
Games like Once Upon a Jester

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–2.2M copies

≈ $13.0M–$18.7M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Firewatch at ≈ 4.1M–6.7M copies, ≈ $22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Mystery (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2.7x vs typical
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