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How many copies did Water Physics Simulation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
from 98 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Water Physics Simulation out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Water Physics Simulation's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–6.2M
best case 26.7M (BeamNG.drive)
Games like Water Physics Simulation

The middle of these games

≈ 3.3M–6.2M copies

≈ $21.9M–$92.1M after Steam's cut

from ~111k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.3M–33.0M copies, ≈ $139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (8 of 8) and Physics (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Space Engineers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.3M–$57.2M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.0M before the cut
$19.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSandbox
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.3M–33.0M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut $253.8M–$577.4M before the cut
$24.99
416k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.9M–$56.2M after Steam's cut $38.0M–$86.5M before the cut
$19.99
153k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSimulation
Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$78.6M–$211.3M after Steam's cut $142.9M–$325.1M before the cut
$39.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.9M–$34.7M after Steam's cut $23.5M–$53.4M before the cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
Goat Simulator
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.7M before the cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.4M–$44.2M before the cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.