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wishvane

How many copies did BAD END THEATER sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 249k–404k
$683k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before the cut
from 10k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left BAD END THEATER out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BAD END THEATER's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–2.4M
best case 4.5M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like BAD END THEATER

The middle of these games

≈ 1.7M–2.4M copies

≈ $7.0M–$19.3M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.4M–5.6M copies, ≈ $56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 7k to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (6 of 8) and Dating Sim (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based Combat + JRPG + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.3x vs typical
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Life SimMultiple Endings
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Dating SimSexual Content

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