How much revenue did Thrive make?

An estimated 57k to 154k net after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thrive sell?

Q: How many copies did Thrive sell?

An estimated 42k to 68k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 42k–68k; $57k–$154k net $104k–$237k gross; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Thrive out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thrive's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–1.9M

best case 8.8M (Kerbal Space Program)

The Sandbox lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 1.8M copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game

≈ 1.8M copies

≈ $19.8M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Best case

≈ 8.8M copies

Kerbal Space Program · ≈ $135.6M after Steam's cut

from 144k reviews

A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

7 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 1 is a breakout hit far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering

Winners here lead with Space + Simulation, priced around $40.
The breakout hits carry Space Sim + Moddable + Physics; a typical game here doesn't.
The games you compared span 2008 to 2026, a lane with a long track record.
A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

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Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $73.5M–$197.6M net $133.6M–$304.0M gross	$39.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation +6
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