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How many copies did Christmas Celebration With Sakuya Izayoi sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before the cut
from 172 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Christmas Celebration With Sakuya Izayoi out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Christmas Celebration With Sakuya Izayoi's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 103k–138k
best case 127k (one night, hot springs)
Games like Christmas Celebration With Sakuya Izayoi

The middle of these games

≈ 103k–138k copies

≈ $30k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: one night, hot springs at ≈ 97k–157k copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 160 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 106 to 244.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Anime (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with LGBTQ+ + Visual Novel.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Save Me, Sakuya-san!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–37k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$18k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$76k before the cut
$2.99
906 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeCasual
Sakuya Izayoi Gives You Advice And Dabs
2020
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before the cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualVisual Novel
The Star Named EOS
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$290k before the cut
$14.99
686 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeFirst-Person
one night, hot springs
2018
Est. copies
≈ 97k–157k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LGBTQ+Visual Novel
planetarian ~the reverie of a little planet~
2014
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
The Sad Story of Emmeline Burns
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
921 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelFree to Play
Winter Novel
2016
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$35k–$94k after Steam's cut $63k–$144k before the cut
$4.99
610 reviews
Very Positive
IndieVisual Novel
Arietta of Spirits
2021
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$73k–$197k after Steam's cut $133k–$303k before the cut
$14.99
716 reviews
Very Positive
Story RichEmotional

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