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How many copies did Ninja Noboken sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
from 28 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ninja Noboken out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ninja Noboken's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 85k–598k
best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)
Games like Ninja Noboken

The middle of these games

≈ 85k–598k copies

≈ $779k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.0M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 352 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (5 of 8) and Hack and Slash (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Souls-like, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Open World + Story Rich + Swordplay; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before the cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Afterimage
2023
Est. copies
≈ 256k–415k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before the cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Darksiders™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 816k–1.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Blue Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 77k–125k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$423k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Frontier Hunter: Erza’s Wheel of Fortune
2024
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$359k–$965k after Steam's cut $653k–$1.5M before the cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 655k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.4M before the cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
The Darkest Tales — Into the Nightmare
2021
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAdventure

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