Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Blue Fire sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 77k–125k
$423k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Blue Fire out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blue Fire's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 63k–325k
best case 5.8M (Celeste)
Games like Blue Fire

The middle of these games

≈ 63k–325k copies

≈ $359k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 399 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 205 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (7 of 8) and Metroidvania (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Great Soundtrack + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
46x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
You Have to Win the Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 321k–521k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFree to Play
Aeterna Noctis
2021
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$438k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $796k–$1.8M before the cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
VVVVVV
2010
Est. copies
≈ 666k–1.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$914k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before the cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before the cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Bō: Path of the Teal Lotus
2024
Est. copies
≈ 42k–69k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$233k–$626k after Steam's cut $424k–$964k before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Unbound: Worlds Apart
2021
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$182k–$489k after Steam's cut $331k–$752k before the cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
Leap Year
2024
Est. copies
≈ 79k–129k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$450k before the cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPrecision Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.