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How many copies did While the Iron's Hot sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$31k–$82k after Steam's cut $56k–$126k before the cut
from 224 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left While the Iron's Hot out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including While the Iron's Hot's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–7k
best case 618k (A Little to the Left)
Games like While the Iron's Hot

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–7k copies

≈ $6k–$55k after Steam's cut

from ~140 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Little to the Left at ≈ 471k–765k copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 68 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 16 to 580.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (5 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Crafting + Simulation, priced around $16. The breakout hits carry 2D + Pixel Graphics + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Escapists
2015
Est. copies
≈ 790k–1.3M
116x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before the cut
$17.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsStrategy
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471k–765k
136x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before the cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
DreamWorks Dragons: Dawn of New Riders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before the cut
$29.99
236 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureDragons
Build Lands
2022
Est. copies
≈ 967–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$3.99
39 reviews
Mostly Positive
City BuilderAtmospheric
Alchemist: The Potion Monger
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before the cut
$13.99
111 reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingSingleplayer
The Last Alchemist
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before the cut
$19.99
168 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationFantasy
Lonesome Village
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$87k after Steam's cut $59k–$134k before the cut
$19.99
238 reviews
Mostly Positive
CozyAdventure
Furniture : Build & Repair
2024
Est. copies
≈ 967–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$3.99
39 reviews
Mixed

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