How much revenue did Antioch: Scarlet Bay make?

$9k–$24k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Antioch: Scarlet Bay sell?

Q: How many copies did Antioch: Scarlet Bay sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 266 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before the cut; from 266 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Antioch: Scarlet Bay out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Antioch: Scarlet Bay's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 57k–97k

best case 1.4M (Return of the Obra Dinn)

Games like Antioch: Scarlet Bay

The middle of these games

≈ 57k–97k copies

≈ $592k–$655k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Return of the Obra Dinn at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 494 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 321 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Detective (6 of 8) and Noir (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective, priced around $20.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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