wishvane
How many copies did Antioch: Scarlet Bay sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$9k–$23k net $16k–$36k gross
from 265 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Antioch: Scarlet Bay out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Antioch: Scarlet Bay's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 56k–94k
best case 1.4M (Return of the Obra Dinn)
The Detective lane

A niche genre: modest ceilings, most sell around 90k copies, so plan for a small audience.

A typical game
≈ 90k copies
≈ $597k after Steam's cut
from ~2k reviews
Best case
≈ 1.4M copies
Return of the Obra Dinn · ≈ $10.7M after Steam's cut
from 35k reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

5 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 3 are breakout hits far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Detective, priced around $20.
  • The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Gold ($250k–$1M before Steam's cut, est.); the best case reaches Diamond ($1M+). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2021
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$315k–$846k net $572k–$1.3M gross
$15.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsDetective +6
2020
Est. copies
≈ 40k–64k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$120k–$322k net $218k–$495k gross
$10.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LGBTQ+Visual Novel +6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 198k–322k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M net $2.0M–$4.5M gross
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureDetective +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$324k–$870k net $589k–$1.3M gross
$14.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventurePoint & Click +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.5M net $10.5M–$23.9M gross
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery +6
2014
Est. copies
≈ 68k–111k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$376k–$1.0M net $684k–$1.6M gross
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
FMVAdventure +6
2021
Est. copies
≈ 42k–69k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$350k–$941k net $636k–$1.4M gross
$29.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SingleplayerStory Rich +6
2024
Est. copies
≈ 169k–274k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M net $2.1M–$4.8M gross
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
3DDetective +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples