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How many copies did The Lost Village sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 77k–126k
$255k–$687k after Steam's cut $464k–$1.1M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Lost Village out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Lost Village's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–7.1M
best case 7.6M (Factorio)
Games like The Lost Village

The middle of these games

≈ 3.5M–7.1M copies

≈ $53.0M–$72.6M after Steam's cut

from ~100k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Factorio at ≈ 5.8M–9.4M copies, ≈ $55.8M–$150.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 19k to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Base-Building (6 of 8) and City Builder (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Automation + Base-Building, priced around $35.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dyson Sphere Program
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.7M–$51.6M before the cut
$19.99
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationSpace
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$55.8M–$150.2M after Steam's cut $101.5M–$231.0M before the cut
$35.00
234k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
Age of Empires II (Retired)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$35.7M–$96.0M after Steam's cut $64.9M–$147.8M before the cut
$19.99
103k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.0M–$69.9M after Steam's cut $47.2M–$107.5M before the cut
$39.99
95k reviews
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StrategyRTS
Prison Architect
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.8M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$122.7M before the cut
$29.99
74k reviews
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SimulationBuilding
Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before the cut
$29.99
137k reviews
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Planet Zoo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.7M–$93.4M after Steam's cut $63.2M–$143.7M before the cut
$44.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.4M–$135.5M after Steam's cut $91.6M–$208.4M before the cut
$34.99
182k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS

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