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How many copies did Ghost Trick: Phantom Detective sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 211k–343k
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before the cut
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ghost Trick: Phantom Detective out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ghost Trick: Phantom Detective's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.4M
best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)
Games like Ghost Trick: Phantom Detective

The middle of these games

≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies

≈ $7.6M–$19.0M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies, ≈ $18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Mystery (7 of 8) and Story Rich (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Space, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Space + Exploration + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Room
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before the cut
$4.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.3M before the cut
$24.99
107k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before the cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.6M after Steam's cut $19.4M–$44.1M before the cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.5M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before the cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.0M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.1M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical

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