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How many copies did Railbound sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 48k–78k
$171k–$459k after Steam's cut $310k–$705k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Railbound out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Railbound's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–202k
best case 618k (A Little to the Left)
Games like Railbound

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–202k copies

≈ $5k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~365 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Little to the Left at ≈ 471k–765k copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 11 to 580.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (6 of 8) and Trains (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Wholesome, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Station to Station
2023
Est. copies
≈ 48k–79k
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$239k–$643k after Steam's cut $435k–$990k before the cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Goblin's Expedition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before the cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
StrategyAdventure
Teeny Tiny Trains
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before the cut
$6.99
76 reviews
Very Positive
Level EditorCozy
Choo-Choose
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut
$0.99
484 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Island Cities - Jigsaw Puzzle
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut
$1.99
245 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471k–765k
52x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before the cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Mini Metro
2015
Est. copies
≈ 816k–1.3M
46x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before the cut
$9.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyPuzzle
Mimi the Cat - Meow Together
2023
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before the cut
$3.99
21 reviews
Positive
SokobanLocal Co-Op

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