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How many copies did Goblin's Expedition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before the cut
from 12 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Goblin's Expedition out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Goblin's Expedition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.6M–23.5M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Goblin's Expedition

The middle of these games

≈ 6.6M–23.5M copies

≈ $25.3M–$73.4M after Steam's cut

from ~154k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Simulation (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (2 of 8) and Tower Defense (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.5M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before the cut
$13.99
394k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
SMITE®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMOBA
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–16.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.2M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before the cut
$4.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseZombies
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.9M–$56.2M after Steam's cut $38.0M–$86.5M before the cut
$19.99
153k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSimulation
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 35.7M–58.0M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut
$4.99
638k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Papers, Please
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.9M–$37.5M after Steam's cut $25.4M–$57.7M before the cut
$9.99
80k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndiePolitical
FTL: Faster Than Light
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before the cut
$9.99
79k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSpace

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