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How many copies did Under The Waves sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 53k–85k
$433k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $788k–$1.8M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Under The Waves out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Under The Waves's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 45k–473k
best case 3.5M (Subnautica: Below Zero)
Games like Under The Waves

The middle of these games

≈ 45k–473k copies

≈ $247k–$3.3M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Subnautica: Below Zero at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $22.1M–$59.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 239 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 30 to 45k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Underwater (7 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Aquaria
2008
Est. copies
≈ 97k–157k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$266k–$715k after Steam's cut $484k–$1.1M before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaIndie
Beyond Blue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$206k–$555k after Steam's cut $375k–$853k before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
UnderwaterAdventure
PROXIMATE
2024
Est. copies
≈ 24k–40k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$40k–$108k after Steam's cut $73k–$166k before the cut
$5.99
982 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
The Shore
2021
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$162k–$437k after Steam's cut $295k–$672k before the cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
LovecraftianHorror
Subnautica: Below Zero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
62x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.5M after Steam's cut $40.2M–$91.5M before the cut
$29.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Koral
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48k–$128k after Steam's cut $87k–$197k before the cut
$14.99
401 reviews
Very Positive
UnderwaterCasual
ABZU
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.1M before the cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingAtmospheric
In Other Waters
2020
Est. copies
≈ 64k–103k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$262k–$704k after Steam's cut $476k–$1.1M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure

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