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How many copies did The Last Bug sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $890–$2k before the cut
from 18 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Last Bug out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last Bug's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 169k–381k
best case 742k (Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War)
Games like The Last Bug

The middle of these games

≈ 169k–381k copies

≈ $1.6M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War at ≈ 565k–919k copies, ≈ $6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 825 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Hex Grid (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Warhammer 40K + 4X, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War
2018
Est. copies
≈ 565k–919k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before the cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K
Battle for Wesnoth
2018
Est. copies
≈ 182k–296k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
King's Bounty II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 137k–223k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before the cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Mixed
StrategyRPG
Pit People®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 248k–404k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatOnline Co-Op
King's Bounty: The Legend
2009
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$488k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $888k–$2.0M before the cut
$6.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
For The King II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 399k–648k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before the cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureRPG
Panzer Corps 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 104k–169k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Curious Expedition 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 103k–167k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSimulation

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