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How many copies did Atelier Ryza 3: Alchemist of the End & the Secret Key sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 56k–92k
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Atelier Ryza 3: Alchemist of the End & the Secret Key out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Atelier Ryza 3: Alchemist of the End & the Secret Key's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 435k–7.0M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like Atelier Ryza 3: Alchemist of the End & the Secret Key

The middle of these games

≈ 435k–7.0M copies

≈ $7.6M–$79.8M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (6 of 8) and Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$16.8M–$45.2M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.5M before the cut
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Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
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≈ 6.9M–11.1M
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Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
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≈ 4.8M–7.8M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$26.3M–$70.8M after Steam's cut $47.9M–$108.9M before the cut
$19.99
85k reviews
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MMORPGRPG
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
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Open World Survival CraftSurvival
FINAL FANTASY XII THE ZODIAC AGE
2018
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≈ 309k–503k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition
2021
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before the cut
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Visual NovelEmotional
Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition
2023
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≈ 379k–617k
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$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.1M before the cut
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Ni no Kuni™ II: Revenant Kingdom
2018
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≈ 339k–551k
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$59.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
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