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How many copies did Moontrain sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$525–$1k after Steam's cut $954–$2k before the cut
from 11 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Moontrain out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moontrain's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.8M
best case 4.9M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like Moontrain

The middle of these games

≈ 1.5M–2.8M copies

≈ $11.5M–$18.5M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.1M copies, ≈ $41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Detective (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Detective, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Choices Matter + Isometric + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before the cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.5M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before the cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before the cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before the cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before the cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut $75.1M–$170.9M before the cut
$39.99
130k reviews
Very Positive
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.6M after Steam's cut $19.4M–$44.1M before the cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel

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