wishvane
How many copies did Dear Esther sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 147k–239k
from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dear Esther out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dear Esther's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–4.5M
best case 21.6M (No Man's Sky)
The Atmospheric lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 3.8M copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 3.8M copies
≈ $36.5M after Steam's cut
from ~75k reviews
Best case
≈ 21.6M copies
No Man's Sky · ≈ $500.4M after Steam's cut
from 411k reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

7 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 1 is a breakout hit far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
  • The breakout hits carry Space + Procedural Generation + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
  • None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.6M–$55.4M net $37.4M–$85.2M gross
$24.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.2M net $36.0M–$81.9M gross
$29.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorPsychological Horror +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.2M–$62.4M net $42.2M–$95.9M gross
$19.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft +6
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.8M–$26.3M net $17.8M–$40.5M gross
$14.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyNarration +6
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.1M net $39.3M–$89.4M gross
$19.99
98k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.7M–$26.2M net $17.7M–$40.3M gross
$19.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M net $21.7M–$49.5M gross
$14.99
95k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric +6
2016
Est. copies
≈ 16.4M–26.7M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$271.3M–$729.5M net $493.4M–$1122.4M gross
$59.99
411k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples