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How many copies did LONESTAR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 60k–98k
$216k–$581k after Steam's cut $393k–$893k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left LONESTAR out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LONESTAR's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 635k–1.1M
best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)
Games like LONESTAR

The middle of these games

≈ 635k–1.1M copies

≈ $5.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics. The breakout hits carry PvE + Trading Card Game + Stylized; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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1.6x vs typical
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TacticalRogue-like
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≈ 986k–1.6M
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StrategyRPG
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RPGOpen World
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≈ 569k–924k
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Card BattlerRogue-lite
Gloomhaven
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≈ 399k–649k
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Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 676k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$14.99
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StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 338k–550k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before the cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game

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