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wishvane

How many copies did Lost Judgment sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 238k–387k
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.8M before the cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lost Judgment out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost Judgment's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–6.6M
best case 132.9M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Lost Judgment

The middle of these games

≈ 3k–6.6M copies

≈ $3k–$332k after Steam's cut

from ~933 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Automobile Sim (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.3M–164.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 22 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 58k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Automobile Sim (3 of 8) and Bowling (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.3M–164.6M
2224x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
217x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.6M–$74.1M after Steam's cut $50.1M–$114.0M before the cut
$19.99
202k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
217x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 82k–133k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$180k–$483k after Steam's cut $327k–$744k before the cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MemesPixel Graphics
BandRoll
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
$1.99
104 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRhythm
Sadball
2024
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
36 reviews
Positive
ExplorationPrecision Platformer
PBA Pro Bowling
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before the cut
$14.99
189 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsSimulation
Roxy Raccoon's Bowling Bash
2022
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$4.99
23 reviews
Positive
Bowling3D Platformer

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