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wishvane

How big is Sadball?

Estimated owners
≈ 893–1k
from 36 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sadball out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sadball's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 39k–67k
best case 233k (Hot Lava)
Games like Sadball

The middle of these games

≈ 39k–67k copies

≈ $25k–$396k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hot Lava at ≈ 177k–288k copies, ≈ $975k–$2.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 289 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 47 to 815.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 3D Platformer (7 of 8) and Exploration (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + 3D Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Racing + Time Attack + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2019 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hans
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before the cut
$4.99
795 reviews
Very Positive
Hot Lava
2019
Est. copies
≈ 177k–288k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$975k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before the cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered
2025
Est. copies
≈ 45k–73k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$368k–$989k after Steam's cut $669k–$1.5M before the cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
BETON BRUTAL
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$255k before the cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerPrecision Platformer
Toree 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before the cut
$0.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action3D Platformer
Toree 3D
2021
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before the cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerPlatformer
Mineirinho Director's Cut
2020
Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before the cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Mixed
AnimeAction
Blue Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 77k–125k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$423k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.