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How many copies did Heavy Burden sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$36k–$98k after Steam's cut $66k–$150k before the cut
from 444 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heavy Burden out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heavy Burden's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–23k
best case 61k (Braid, Anniversary Edition)
Games like Heavy Burden

The middle of these games

≈ 13k–23k copies

≈ $40k–$116k after Steam's cut

from ~521 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Braid, Anniversary Edition at ≈ 46k–75k copies, ≈ $254k–$682k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 97 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 30 to 463.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (6 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + 2D Platformer, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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