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wishvane

How many copies did Steel Guardian sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$265–$715 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before the cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 3 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Steel Guardian out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Steel Guardian's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–14.5M
best case 27.4M (Fallout 4)
Games like Steel Guardian

The middle of these games

≈ 3.9M–14.5M copies

≈ $29.7M–$70.1M after Steam's cut

from ~105k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 20.9M–34.0M copies, ≈ $114.9M–$308.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 7) and Exploration (5 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–34.0M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.9M–$308.8M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.1M before the cut
$19.99
428k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Enshrouded
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.5M–$57.7M after Steam's cut $39.0M–$88.8M before the cut
$29.99
105k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.8M–$37.1M after Steam's cut $25.1M–$57.1M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.4M–$49.5M after Steam's cut $33.5M–$76.1M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.3M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.7M before the cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Fallout 3
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before the cut
$9.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic

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