How many copies did The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) sell?

Q: How many copies did The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) sell?

3.3M to 5.4M copies, based on its 53k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Q: How much revenue did The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) make?

$13.8M–$37.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.3M–5.4M; $13.8M–$37.1M after Steam's cut $25.1M–$57.1M before the cut; from 53k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.5M–29.1M

best case 37.5M (ELDEN RING)

Games like The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)

The middle of these games

≈ 11.5M–29.1M copies

≈ $221.1M–$593.2M after Steam's cut

from ~374k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ELDEN RING at ≈ 28.6M–46.4M copies, ≈ $471.3M–$1267.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 171k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 145k to 347k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Open World (7 of 8) and Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Open World, priced around $60.
The era: The games you compared span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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