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How many copies did Magicraft sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 416k–676k
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before the cut
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Magicraft out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magicraft's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 276k–1.6M
best case 11.4M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Magicraft

The middle of these games

≈ 276k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.5M–$16.9M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.7M–14.2M copies, ≈ $59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rogue-lite (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut $109.0M–$248.0M before the cut
$24.99
352k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.1M–$38.0M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.4M before the cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 604k–981k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.2M before the cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Deadzone: Rogue
2025
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.5M before the cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRogue-like
10 Minutes Till Dawn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 102k–167k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
SULFUR
2024
Est. copies
≈ 246k–400k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before the cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Revita
2022
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$282k–$757k after Steam's cut $512k–$1.2M before the cut
$16.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before the cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike

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