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wishvane

How many copies did F.E.A.R. 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 864k–1.4M
$4.7M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before the cut
from 14k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left F.E.A.R. 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including F.E.A.R. 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23.8M–90.4M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like F.E.A.R. 3

The middle of these games

≈ 23.8M–90.4M copies

≈ $265.1M–$343.7M after Steam's cut

from ~810k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.7M–108.4M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut $333.1M–$757.9M before the cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$195.8M–$526.4M after Steam's cut $356.0M–$809.9M before the cut
$49.99
469k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.3M–122.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.4M–43.0M
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.6M–$208.6M after Steam's cut $141.1M–$321.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival

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