How much revenue did Noctuary make?

$536k–$1.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Noctuary sell?

Q: How many copies did Noctuary sell?

65k to 106k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 65k–106k; $536k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $975k–$2.2M before the cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Noctuary out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Noctuary's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 438k–1.1M

best case 2.0M (The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty)

Games like Noctuary

The middle of these games

≈ 438k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 621 to 28k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Historical, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Doki Doki Literature Club Plus! 2021	Est. copies ≈ 798k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before the cut	$14.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before the cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical
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