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wishvane

How many copies did Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before the cut
from 69 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 209k–515k
best case 767k (Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+)
Games like Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat!

The middle of these games

≈ 209k–515k copies

≈ $3.7M–$9.0M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ at ≈ 585k–950k copies, ≈ $6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Female Protagonist (3 of 3) and Rhythm (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Anime, priced around $39.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Melody's Escape
2016
Est. copies
≈ 200k–325k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $998k–$2.3M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
Space Channel 5: Part 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAction
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+
2022
Est. copies
≈ 585k–950k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.2M before the cut
$39.39
24k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAnime

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