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How many copies did The Complex: Expedition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 68k–111k
$280k–$754k after Steam's cut $510k–$1.2M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Complex: Expedition out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including The Complex: Expedition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–5.7M
best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)
Games like The Complex: Expedition

The middle of these games

≈ 1.3M–5.7M copies

≈ $11.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut

from ~52k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 418 to 35k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (3 of 4) and Co-op (2 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut $63.2M–$143.9M before the cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
The Long Drive
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.4M before the cut
$15.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
DrivingOpen World
Ghostwire: Tokyo
2022
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.6M–$23.1M after Steam's cut $15.6M–$35.6M before the cut
$59.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerSupernatural
Backrooms: Escape Together
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before the cut
$9.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerHorror

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